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Institutional-grade risk analytics for select businesses

We quantify operational risk in dollars and design actions your board can use.

Boutique capacity; new engagements are limited.

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Encryption in transit & at rest·U.S. hosting·NDA by default
Consumer
CPG
Light MFG
E-comm

Who we're for

CFO & Finance

Quantify exposure in dollars; cut avoidable losses; board-ready reporting.

Volatility ↓

Treasury & FP&A

Liquidity and working-capital stability under real scenarios.

Runway ↑

Ops & Supply

Supplier, inventory, and fulfillment risk with actionable playbooks.

Stock-outs ↓

PE-Backed

Cross-entity risk with cadence your board actually uses.

Cross-entity view

Start with an Executive Risk Diagnostic

One dataset. Six slides. A clear plan.

By invitation.

Results

Recent outcomes we've delivered for clients across manufacturing, distribution, and consumer goods.

Selected clients:

Manufacturing Co.
Regional Foods
Premium Apparel
Industrial Components
MANUFACTURING CLIENT
$2.1M
cash protected
-45 bps
COGS trend
+35 days
cash runway
GM impact from 3 actions
Action 1
Action 2
Action 3
Total
• $520k cash from DSO reduction
• -45 bps supplier concentration risk
• +35 days cash runway
12-month lookback, weekly aggregation, 95% confidence. Values illustrative.
DISTRIBUTION CLIENT
$845k
write-offs avoided
-22%
stock-out rate
+15%
fill-rate
Supplier concentration by region
NE
SE
MW
W
• $240k COGS from SKU rationalization
• +15% inventory turns improvement
• +60 days cash runway
12-month lookback, weekly aggregation, 95% confidence. Values illustrative.
“Finally have visibility into what could break us and how to prevent it. The diagnostic paid for itself in the first quarter.”
— CFO, Manufacturing Co.

How We Work

1

Data Intake

Days 0–2

Read-only exports: COGS by SKU, vendor list, AR/AP aging, DSO/DIO/DPO, backlog, tariff exposure

2

Model & Scenarios

Days 3–7

P50/P95, runway, GM deltas; risk score = Probability × Impact × Detectability

Risk Score = P × I × D
3

Board-Ready Plan

Days 8–10

Top-5 actions with owners & thresholds, 45-min readout

Data Security

Read-only access (no write privileges)
No PII required (operational/financial data only)
Encryption at rest & in transit (AES-256 / TLS 1.2+)
12-month retention (auto purge upon request)
Data residency: US (cloud storage)
Access control & audit logs (least privilege)
NDA by default (Mutual NDA provided)
SOC 2–aligned controls
Learn more → Security

We never ask for banking credentials.

Systems

Sources

QuickBooksNetSuiteShopifyGA4CSV/ExcelSFTPOther

Key fields we use

COGS by SKU, sales by SKU/customer, inventory on hand, vendor/customer master, AR/AP aging, POs & receipts, tariffs/freight

Ingestion

API, SFTP, or secure drive upload (read-only service accounts)

Cadence

Diagnostic: one-time import (Days 0–2)
Ongoing plans: monthly sync (or on demand)

Sample Dashboard

Supplier concentrationHigh
75% from top 3
Scenario PL impact-12%
P50/P75/P95
Stock-out riskMedium
Below threshold
Runway days+35
Before → After